Jan
12
Wed
TiPES Webinar – Peter Hopcroft @ Zoom
Jan 12 @ 14:00 – 15:15

Peter Hopcroft (Uni. Birmingham, UK)

Conditioning a climate model with paleoclimate reconstructions so that it resolves a tipping point

The ‘Greening’ of the Sahara during the Holocene is a particularly dramatic natural environmental change. Although it is well understood that the slow variations in Earth’s orbit caused this transition, climate models have largely failed to convincingly reproduce it. Having conditioned one climate model with the climatic state in North Africa for the mid-Holocene at 6000 years ago, we performed a series of transient simulations covering the last 10,000 years. The results show abrupt changes that replicate features seen in long paleoclimate records. We will discuss how this approach differs from other paleoclimate modelling studies, how the results are sensitive to a range of climatic forcings operating during this time. We’ll conclude with a brief discussion of how this may approach might be applied in other settings.

Mar
11
Fri
TiPES Online Workshop on Climate and Policy
Mar 11 @ 10:00 – 13:00
Apr
13
Wed
TiPES Webinar: Denis-Didier Rousseau: Cascade of abrupt transitions in past climates. @ Zoom
Apr 13 @ 14:00 – 15:11

This is a TiPES webinar. Please contact Giulia Petitta for the Zoom link: giulia.petitta@amigoclimate.com

Apr
18
Mon
Expert Course on Climate Time Series Analysis and Risk Analysis @ Online
Apr 18 – Apr 22 all-day

This is Scientific Course #2 (SC2) for the CriticalEarth ITN:  An Expert Course on Climate Time Series Analysis and Risk Analysis, that will be run and organised  by Manfred Mudelsee from Climate Risk Analysis (CRA). 

The SC2 course will thus be conducted online from the 18-22nd April, although a the organiser will make it available to you two weeks before the workshop.

This online course takes the form of recorded videos with lectures/content (15 hours, 15 modules), and students will be working on exercises and applying techniques to their own research projects. There will be allocated slots over 3 days 20-23rd April where Manfred will hold both group discussions about the exercises, and  1-1 sessions with all ESRs (e.g. held over zoom) to provide specific problem solving.

ESRs are encouraged to give mini presentations (one to three slides) during these three days, providing an overview of the results they obtained from applying the software to the data from their PhD projects.

The course is available to external participants. Please contact Manfred directly for details. 

 

Apr
25
Mon
SC1: ‘Advanced Python & Machine Learning’ and EW2 Workshop: ‘Rare Events in Weather and Climate’ @ Hotel Erica
Apr 25 – Apr 30 all-day

CriticalEarth Science Course #1 (SC1): Advanced Python course including Machine Learning 

Organised by Henk Dijkstra (University Utrecht) & Freddy Bouchet (ENSL)

A full programme will be uploaded on 1st April.

In Brief: During Monday 25/4 – Wednesday 27/4, there is a training event with a focus on ‘Machine Learning and the Physics of Climate’.
On Thursday 28/4 and Friday  29/4 there will be a workshop on ‘Rare Events in Weather and Climate’,

Please see agenda here: CriticalEarth_April_2022_Agenda_FINAL

 

May
2
Mon
Meeting with EU Project Officer @ Online
May 2 all-day

The meeting agenda will be communicated internally.

The meeting will include a private meeting with the ESRs and the Project Officer Giuliana Donini to hear thoughts and feedback on the CriticalEarth project to date. Each ESR should prepare a presentation no more than 2 mins on their project.

The Management will then report on general progress.

May
23
Mon
EGU General Assembly 2022 @ The Austria Center Vienna
May 23 – May 28 all-day

The EGU General Assembly will take place in Vienna, Austria. See the EGU page, here. More information to follow.

There is a TiPES session entitled:  Nonlinear Dynamics and Tipping Points in the Earth System: Convener: Niklas Boers.  Co-conveners: Hannah Christensen, Peter Ditlevsen, Christian Franzke, Anna von der Heydt, Timothy Lenton, Marisa Montoya, Paul Williams, Naiming Yuan.

Session timing TBC

TiPES scientist Louise Sime will also give an Invited talk at EGU: “Diversity in Interglacials – past warm periods”.

Sep
12
Mon
TiPES Annual Meeting & Workshop, UK @ Exeter UK, TBC
Sep 12 – Sep 16 all-day

We plan to hold a in-person TiPES Annual Meeting meeting later this year near Exeter area (UK). Please mark your diaries; more details of scope and timing will be announced in due course.

Feb
13
Mon
Winterschool & Conference on Critical Transitions in observed and simulated complex systems @ Institute for Advanced Study (IAS) Technical University of Munich
Feb 13 – Feb 24 all-day
Winterschool & Conference on Critical Transitions in observed and simulated complex systems @ Institute for Advanced Study (IAS) Technical University of Munich

CriticalEarth Winterschool & Conference on Critical Transitions in observed and simulated complex systems:

Venue: Institute for Advanced Study (IAS) Technical University of Munich, Garching. Germany:

 

Meeting Agenda:

13-15 Feb: ESR workshop 2 “Methods of Stochastic Multiscale Dynamics” (Christian Kuehn)

16-17 Feb: Workshop 2 “Critical transitions in complex climate models” (Christian Kuehn)

18-19 Feb: Weekend Excursions to Alps/ Free time/collaborations 

20-21 Feb: ESR workshop 3 “Data analysis and observations” (Niklas Boers)

22-24 Feb: Joint TiPES & CriticalEarth Conference on Tipping in the Earth System (Niklas Boers)

 

Meeting agenda details will be updated here in due course.

 

 

 

 

 

Apr
29
Sat
ESR Communications and Outreach Training @ Zirkus
Apr 29 all-day

Purpose:

Introduction to communications with press and others through a hands-on workshop where we will quickly move from the abstract to each student’s individual plan. There will be a follow-up workshop at the end of the year when students are to attend the CriticalEarth-conference in Exeter, UK. In between the workshops in Vienna and Exeter individual projects will be discussed virtually.

Participants:

Students involved in Critical Earth Project.

Workshop leader:

David Trads, journalist and author, associated with Niels Bohr Institute at the University of Copenhagen.

Program:

09:00-9:30        Introduction: Why is it important to communicate science to outside world? And: How does it help your career if you’re good at it?

09:30-10:30      What is a ‘good story’? And: How does a reporter want? And: Why are news criteria important to understand?

10:30-11:00      Definitions of different target groups. And: How to use target groups.

11:00-12:00      What is ‘your’ good story? And: how to reduce complexity and make scientific insights accessible to broader audiences.

12:00-12:45      Lunch

12:45-13:45      Write a brief, popular blogpost. And: How to keep it simple! And: Learn to communicate your message quickly

14:00-15:00      How to improve a blogpost. And: How to maximize attention. And: Learn a few easy tools to express yourself in a simple, but precise manner.

15:00-15:30      Individual assignments & wrap-up.