The following articles (co-)authored by CriticalEarth ESRs have been published:


Bellomo, K. & Mehling, O. Impacts and State-Dependence of AMOC Weakening in a Warming Climate. Geophysical Research Letters 51, e2023GL107624 (2024)

Wunderling, N., von der Heydt, A. S., et al. [including Sinet, S.] Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review. Earth System Dynamics 15, 41–74 (2024)


Mehling, O., Börner, R. & Lucarini, V. Limits to predictability of the asymptotic state of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a conceptual climate model. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena 459, 134043 (2024)

Nian, D., Bathiany, S., Ben-Yami, M., Blaschke, L. L., Hirota, M., Rodrigues, R. R., & Boers, N. A potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation may stabilise eastern Amazonian rainforests. Communications Earth & Environment 4, 470 (2023)

Ben-Yami, M., Skiba, V., Bathiany, S. & Boers, N. Uncertainties in critical slowing down indicators of observation-based fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Circulation. Nature Communications 14, 8344 (2023)

Fohlmeister, J., Sekhon, N., Columbu, A., Vettoretti, G., Weitzel, N., Rehfeld, K., Veiga-Pires, C., Ben-Yami, M., Marwan, N. & Boers, N. Global reorganization of atmospheric circulation during Dansgaard–Oeschger cycles. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120, e2302283120 (2023)

Hamilton, O., Demaeyer, J., Vannitsem, S. & Crucifix, M. Multistability in a coupled ocean–atmosphere reduced-order model: Nonlinear temperature equations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 149, 3423–3439 (2023)

Jacques-Dumas, V., van Westen, R. M., Bouchet, F. & Dijkstra, H. A. Data-driven methods to estimate the committor function in conceptual ocean models. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 30, 195–216 (2023)

Bernuzzi, P. & Kuehn, C. Bifurcations and Early-Warning Signs for SPDEs with Spatial Heterogeneity. Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations (2023)

Swierczek-Jereczek, J., Robinson, A., Blasco, J., Alvarez-Solas, J. & Montoya, M. Time-scale synchronisation of oscillatory responses can lead to non-monotonous R-tipping. Scientific Reports 13, 2104 (2023)

Sinet, S., von der Heydt, A. S. & Dijkstra, H. A. AMOC Stabilization Under the Interaction With Tipping Polar Ice Sheets. Geophysical Research Letters 50, e2022GL100305 (2023)


Mehling, O., Bellomo, K., Angeloni, M., Pasquero, C. & von Hardenberg, J. High-latitude precipitation as a driver of multicentennial variability of the AMOC in a climate model of intermediate complexity. Climate Dynamics 61, 1519–1534 (2023)